{"id":27287,"date":"2015-07-30T04:05:06","date_gmt":"2015-07-30T02:05:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/rss.nova-institut.net\/public.php?url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.biofuelsdigest.com%2Fbdigest%2F2015%2F07%2F27%2Feu-biofuels-to-stagnate-says-usda-citing-mport-tariffs-impact-on-competitiveness%2F"},"modified":"2015-07-29T10:15:59","modified_gmt":"2015-07-29T08:15:59","slug":"import-tarrifs-to-keep-eu-biofuel-industry-stagnant","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/renewable-carbon.eu\/news\/import-tarrifs-to-keep-eu-biofuel-industry-stagnant\/","title":{"rendered":"Import tariffs to keep EU biofuel industry &#8216;stagnant&#8217;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The European biofuels industry is to stagnate next year, according to a report from the US Department of Agriculture&#8217;s bureau in The Hague, unless import tariffs are relaxed.<\/p>\n<p>The bureau noted that the EU has &#8220;effectively separated itself from the international market&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p>Anti-dumping legislation means it is rarely cost-effective to import biofuels, but EU product is rarely competitive in international markets, meaning that the EU biofuel industry only produces enough fuel to meet flat domestic demand.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Closed market<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Current EU biofuel use is restricted by the low rate of blending. Only 5% blends of biofuels with conventional fuels have been widely introduced, effectively capping total biofuel use.<\/p>\n<p>Consumers are resistant to higher blend rates, as there is not currently a strong price incentive to adopt them, and drivers are wary about the effect of biofuels of the lifespan of their engines.<\/p>\n<p>The USDA notes that adoption of higher blend rates &#8220;is hampered by the low fossil fuel prices and insufficient government incentives&#8221; and notes that a liberalisation of imports would be likely to lower prices and encourage adoption.<\/p>\n<p>European member states have implemented legislation to force fuel suppliers to increase the rate of biofuel blending, toward a target of 20% biofuel use in road fuel by 2020.<\/p>\n<p>However the so called &#8220;double counting&#8221; legislation, which means that sustainable biofuels count double toward blending targets, mean that fuel suppliers can meet these targets by changing feedstock, without increasing overall blend rate.<\/p>\n<p>Currently biodiesel from used cooking oil is the most cost effective means of achieving this.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Low demand<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The static state of biofuel blending, as well as low fuel demand from a subdued European economy, is keeping overall biofuel demand low.<\/p>\n<p>Total road fuel demand was seen remaining behind its 2012 high until at least 2016.<\/p>\n<p>2016 fuel ethanol use was also seen at 5.25bn litres, down from 5.32bn litres in 2014, and a high of 5.70bn litres in 2011.<\/p>\n<p>Biodiesel use is seen falling in 2015, to 13.06bn litres, from 13.10bn litres in 2014, before recovering to 13.09bn litres in 2015.<\/p>\n<p>This month German ethanol group CropEnergies <a href=\"http:\/\/www.agrimoney.com\/news\/cropenergies-grows-profits-without-ensus-plant--8558.html\">warned <\/a>that a recent rise in European ethanol prices may not prove sustainable.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Considerable volatility is to be expected,&#8221; CropEnergies said, adding that &#8220;the high volatility of bioethanol prices makes outlook difficult&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Market reaches its limits<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>And with stagnant demand, the USDA forecasts the EU biodiesel market to remained balanced, with only enough fuel produced to meet local demand.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The supply and demand charts of bioethanol and biodiesel show a similar picture&#8221; the bureau said, noting that after a reduction of demand for fuels in 2012 and 2013, biofuels use is expected to remain &#8220;at about the current level in 2015 and 2016&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;As the ethanol market reached its limits, bioethanol production is expected to stagnate in most EU member states during 2015 and 2016&#8221; the USDA said.<\/p>\n<p>The USDA forecast European fuel ethanol production to remains steady at 5.25bn litres a year until at least 2016.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Cooking oil favoured<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>As biodiesel producers increasingly favour used cooking oil due to environmental incentives, the industry demand for crude rapeseed oil will drop.<\/p>\n<p>Rapeseed oil use in biodiesel is set to decline, to 5.97m tonnes in 2015 and 2016, from 6.17m tonnes in 2014.<\/p>\n<p>Palm oil use will remain fairly steady, at near 1.62m tonnes, while used cooking oil gains a growing share of the market.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Feedstock demand unchanged<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Conventional feedstock demand from ethanol users will remain unchanged, as cellulosic ethanol fails to gain a market share.<\/p>\n<p>Cellulosic ethanol is produced from non-food plant matter such as forestry offcuts and straw.<\/p>\n<p>The USDA estimates that in 2015 fuel ethanol production will require nearly 10.1m tonnes of cereals and 11.2m tonnes of sugar beets.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;This is about 3.0% of total EU cereal production and about 8.8% of total sugar beet production,&#8221; the report said.<\/p>\n<p>Co-products of ethanol production, such as dried distiller&#8217;s grains, can be fed to livestock.<\/p>\n<p>Total animal feed co-products from ethanol production are seen at 3.2m tonnes in 2014, meeting around 2% of EU animal feed demand.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Depending on the 2015 harvest, EU producers will switch to wheat or continue to produce from corn,&#8221; the report said, noting that the use of beets for ethanol has &#8220;increased slightly&#8221; in the last year due to low sugar prices.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In Germany, Agrimoney is reporting on the USDA report, isssued out of The Hague, predicting a stagna&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"","nova_meta_subtitle":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[5572],"tags":[5714],"supplier":[221,5585,8400],"class_list":["post-27287","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-bio-based","tag-biofuels","supplier-cropenergies-ag","supplier-european-union","supplier-usda"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/renewable-carbon.eu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27287","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/renewable-carbon.eu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/renewable-carbon.eu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/renewable-carbon.eu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/renewable-carbon.eu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=27287"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/renewable-carbon.eu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27287\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/renewable-carbon.eu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=27287"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/renewable-carbon.eu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=27287"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/renewable-carbon.eu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=27287"},{"taxonomy":"supplier","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/renewable-carbon.eu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/supplier?post=27287"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}