Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty<\/a> say focusing on emissions but not stopping new fossil fuel projects is a sure recipe for escalating climate failure.<\/p>\n\n\n\nAs the dust settles on COP26, NGO leaders Tzeporah Berman, international program director of Stand.Earth, and Mark Campanale, founder of Carbon Tracker, two of the leaders behind the global push for a Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty (FFNPT), say the \u201cwork is just beginning.\u201d With the global mean temperature of the earth\u2019s atmosphere rising at the fastest pace ever, they are redoubling efforts to do something all 25 COPs have failed to do \u2013\u2013 put an end to developing new coal, oil and gas assets around the world.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
I spoke to Tzeporah and Mark about the building momentum for the treaty and why the United Nations climate conferences have failed to make significant headway in reducing fossil fuel development.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u201cIt\u2019s not an energy transition if we keep building out the problem,\u201d Tzeporah said. \u201cOur initiative is exposing a gap in the system. There are very few mechanisms in the Paris Accord and in conventional climate policy at domestic levels to constrain [fossil fuel] production. And yet we keep wondering why we can\u2019t meet emissions reduction targets year after year after year.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n
This gaping disconnect is what triggered the FFNPT movement. When Climate & Capital first wrote about the FFNPT in 2020, it seemed like little more than an interesting idea modelled after the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty of 1968 which helped put the brakes on the then headlong rush to build nuclear weapons.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Launched in 2020, support for the FFNPT is mushrooming and now includes 155 parliamentarians from 31 countries, 17 cities, 101 Nobel Laureates including the Dalai Lama, 2,600 academics and more than 950 civil society organizations including.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u201cWe need a Fossil Fuel Treaty that ends the expansion of production, winds down existing fossil fuels in keeping with the world\u2019s climate goals and fosters international cooperation,\u201d Mark said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The idea is gaining traction far beyond climate NGOs. Before COP26, the historically pro-fossil fuel International Energy Agency (IEA), surprised many when they released an analysis showing that there can be no new coal, oil or gas development if the world is to reach net zero emissions by 2050.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u201cWe need a Fossil Fuel Treaty that ends the expansion of production, winds down existing fossil fuels in keeping with the world\u2019s climate goals and fosters international cooperation.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n
A failed process: 25 U.N. climate conferences have ignored fossil fuels<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Other expert bodies have followed suit, Mark and Tzeporah said, but once again, COP26 fell far short of achieving a global agreement to stop new coal, oil and gas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
For years, Mark said, the COP conferences ignored the role of fossil fuels \u2013\u2013 it did not help that the largest delegations to COP were usually from the fossil fuel industry.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u201cFor multiple COPs, fossil fuels were invisible,\u201d Tzeporah said. \u201cWe weren\u2019t debating the continued production of oil, gas and coal. And it was a challenge to even get people to acknowledge and accept that that should be part of the discussion because the fossil fuel industry has been successful in making fossil fuels invisible.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n
COP26 was no different. Delegates, once again, failed to solidly address the need to end all new fossil fuel projects, and somehow felt it was a victory that for the first time fossil fuels were even mentioned, making a vague and unenforceable statement that nations will accelerate efforts towards the phasedown of unabated coal power.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
But the issue goes far beyond the failed conferences. Whether it is the success of fossil fuel lobbying, or perhaps it\u2019s just easier to measure progress says Tzeporah, \u201cRight now, we\u2019re only looking at energy demand in climate policy instead of looking at supply. The overall makeup of the energy system globally hasn\u2019t changed in over a decade. It\u2019s still over 80% fossil fuels.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n
I asked Mark and Tzeporah why. The issue, she said, is that while the world is producing more renewable energy, \u201cwe\u2019ve made no progress in reducing the amount of fossil fuels that we use or produce.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u201cThere are a lot of people really excited about the uptake in renewables and that is important,\u201d said Tzeporah. However, \u201cthe atmosphere doesn\u2019t care how much clean energy we build. It cares about how many fossil fuels you\u2019ve built and that we\u2019re locking in.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The inability to curb fossil fuel demand was the key reason both decided there was an urgent need for a \u201cPlan B\u201d \u2013\u2013 a global movement to shift \u201cthe climate calculus.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Tzeporah\u2019s \u201cah-ha\u201d moment happened when campaigning to stop the tar sands pipeline in Canada. She realized that 30 years of climate policy had all been focused on emissions. \u201cMeanwhile, behind our backs, the fossil fuel industry has been busy building 120% more fossil fuel production,\u201d Tzeporah said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u201cWe\u2019ve made no progress in reducing the amount of fossil fuels that we use or produce.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Stepping away from the brink<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
The result is a global musical chairs of sorts with each fossil fuel producing country clamoring to be the last one standing, able to continue producing oil, gas and coal regardless of the climate consequences.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Efforts like the Beyond Oil and Gas Alliance and the FFNPT are aimed at rebalancing the climate equation and acting to complement the Paris Agreement, the treaty founders say.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u201cWith the Fossil Fuel NPT there is a critical frame here and an analogy to nuclear weapons that no one was willing to stand down first in the same way that right now, every country and every company thinks that they\u2019re going to be the last barrel standing,\u201d Tzeporah said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Want to track fossil fuel developments and reserves? You can\u2019t<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
An essential step towards a treaty is increasing transparency and accountability. Currently, there is no publicly available database of fossil fuel developments and reserves. At COP26, Carbon Tracker and the Global Energy Monitor launched the prototype of a Global Registry of Fossil Fuels. This provides a foundation for plotting all of the world\u2019s current and planned production of coal, oil and gas. Mark said this is essential to enable international negotiations and cooperation going forward. The registry is expected to be publicly available in the new year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Radical transparency needed<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
\u201cThe Global Registry of Fossil Fuels will drive greater transparency about governments\u2019 and companies\u2019 plans for oil, gas and coal in the future, and, crucially, help to make governments more accountable,\u201d Mark said. \u201cAll of the users of the Registry will be able to link fossil fuel production with national climate policies.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Mark said he doesn\u2019t believe governments know the scale of the problem of new fossil fuel production. \u201cThey\u2019re just buying whatever the fossil fuel industry says and of course, they\u2019re turning a blind eye to the implications of handing up new licenses.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u201cThey\u2019re just buying whatever the fossil fuel industry says and of course, they\u2019re turning a blind eye to the implications of handing up new licenses.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The new Registry will map projects and tens of thousands of data points to look at the CO2 content of fossil fuels globally. As countries and companies take fossil fuel projects offline, the public will be about to count them and their emissions down.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u201cWe see one of the key user groups for the Registry being the finance sector. It will enable investors much more effectively to assess stranded asset risk,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Stopping fossil fuel expansion everywhere<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Tzeporah and Mark said they already have 1,000 organizations from around the world supporting the FFNPT and that work will continue. In 2022, they expect corporations and financial institutions to start endorsing the treaty.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u201cWe\u2019ll be meeting with civil society groups. We\u2019ll be briefing nation-states. We\u2019ll be speaking at events on fossil fuels. We\u2019ll be holding our events to socialize people to the concept of the treaty,\u201d she said. \u201cIf we can ensure international cooperation, then it\u2019s not about divestment of this project or stopping that project. It\u2019s about stopping that expansion everywhere. It\u2019s really just the beginning.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
The creators of the global Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty say focusing on emissions but not stopping new fossil fuel projects is a sure recipe for escalating climate failure. As the dust settles on COP26, NGO leaders Tzeporah Berman, international program director of Stand.Earth, and Mark Campanale, founder of Carbon Tracker, two of the leaders behind […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":59,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"none","nova_meta_subtitle":"With the global mean temperature of the earth\u2019s atmosphere rising at the fastest pace ever, some NGO Leaders are redoubling efforts to do something all 25 COPs have failed to do - put an end to developing new coal, oil and gas assets around the world","footnotes":""},"categories":[5572],"tags":[5838,13087],"supplier":[17146,967,19476],"class_list":["post-102491","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-bio-based","tag-bioeconomy","tag-climate","supplier-carbon-tracker-initiative-limited","supplier-international-energy-agency-iea","supplier-united-nations-un"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/renewable-carbon.eu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/102491","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/renewable-carbon.eu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/renewable-carbon.eu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/renewable-carbon.eu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/59"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/renewable-carbon.eu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=102491"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/renewable-carbon.eu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/102491\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/renewable-carbon.eu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=102491"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/renewable-carbon.eu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=102491"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/renewable-carbon.eu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=102491"},{"taxonomy":"supplier","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/renewable-carbon.eu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/supplier?post=102491"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}